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Monday, December 27, 2010

Monday Night Football: Falcons-Saints

As the last and by for most unproductive work week of the year begins, I am looking forward to Monday night football more than ever. Not only is it a chance for the Falcons' chance to clinch the division title in the spotlight against New Orleans, but it's the last week of fantasy football. My team is in the finals and is trailing 135 to 67 with only the Falcons-Saints and Vikings-Eagles games left. The good news is that my opponent has only one player left to play - Eagles receiver DeSean Jackson - while my four best players have yet to take the field. But I will still need big games from Matt Ryan, Drew Brees, Marques Colston, and/or Percy Harvin to overcome this deficit, but it is totally doable. I won the regular season title outright with an 11-2 record and just squeaked by the first 2 playoff games. So here's to hoping Brees throws for 300+ yards and 2 touchdowns to Colston but still loses.

Wednesday, December 15, 2010

Which to Bury, Us or the Hatchet

When things go badly, I like to put a song on full volume and put it on repeat for awhile, and I have a few regular songs that I listen to for such times. Do you have a sort of ritual like this for dealing with anger? “Collide” by Dishwalla, “Schism” by Tool, and “Which to Bury, Us or the Hatchet” by Relient K are three of my favorite songs to blast while I try to get unangry about something. These three songs all talk about hurting a loved one and vice versa. The first two make it seem like it’s inevitable that things would fall apart ("Doomed to crumble unless we grow, and strengthen our communication" and "When I came here there was more. Now I've come back to destroy and I've got nothing left"). The main message of the Relient K song is “know I’ll always love you but right now I just don’t like you cause you took this too far.” Look these up next time you need some good sympathetic music.


Communication is hard, apparently. Many of us suffer from having a hard time telling people “No” or not giving them an explanation or discussion that they are entitled to. Yes, if your feelings toward someone who has been an important part of your life change or your circumstances require that to change, you do have an obligation to talk to them about it. Talking about the issue honestly is clearly a superior way to handle things than to ignore the person, lie to him, lead him on, pretend to not know what’s going on, or otherwise be unclear. And if you aren’t ready for a talk (because you are too confuzzled and don’t know what you want), tell them that and give them a timeframe for when you will be ready to talk. I know I’ve written about this before but in so many failed relationships and friendships, this is a common recurring problem and I'm definitely not entirely blameless.

Being Reminded of the Past

Do you have certain places that always bring back memories of a particular event or person from your past, even a non-significant event? Maybe something like driving by a particular hotel chain reminds you of a person or driving by an exit on the interstate reminds you of that one time you took a trip down that road.


I have found myself being reminded of some rather inconsequential things just by driving by. Whenever I drive by exit 233 on I-75 I think about going to the state Science Olympiad in 9th grade. We stayed at a Hampton Inn there, but the competition was actually at Georgia Tech. However, I never had recollections of the Science Olympiad when I was at the same places as a student at Georgia Tech. When I go to the downtown Atlanta around the Hyatt Regency Hotel, I always remember the Beta Club convention when I was in 11th grade, and I remember the drama between Sharon, me, and others that weekend much more so than actually winning the math competition.

When I drive by the Atlanta hostel on my way to Chipotle on Ponce, I can’t help but think of Dana, dropping her off there on a late Saturday night, and still wondering why I didn’t kiss her and whether that had any effect on what transpired over the next couple of months. When I drive by exit 3 on I-475 around Macon, I always have a brief recollection of Casey Michael and how we used to meet at a McDonald’s there after he moved from Valdosta to Dahlonega when we were about 10 years old. When I go to Cheddar’s, a place I go quite a bit, I am reminded of the first time Hillery and I met intentionally. And now a particular bar in Columbia will surely remind me of Brittany and the silliness that has gone down there and around there in the last couple of months.

I’m sure there are lots more things like this and I guess these are good kinds of memories to have. They do correspond to happy times in my life even though the Science Olympiad one doesn’t fit in because it wasn’t a particularly memorable trip and there’s no person from that trip that sticks out at all as ever being particularly important to me.

Tuesday, December 7, 2010

Final Regular Season Asbury Rankings

The regular season is finished, all the bowl matchups are set, and not surprisingly, my computer still does not have Oregon at the #2 spot as every BCS computer and every human poll has the Ducks. My computer, however, is slowly approaching reality as they moved up to #6 but still behind TCU and 2 teams with 2 losses.

The SEC championship game turned out to be a rout as South Carolina sadly squandered its first and probably last chance at an SEC title for years. The ACC championship game wasn't much closer. Virginia Tech is looking like one of the best teams in the country now, very much unlike the team that started by losing to Boise State and James Madison. I'm as interested in their Bowl game against Stanford as much as any game this winter.

Here are the Asbury rankings headed into bowl season:
1 Auburn 13-0
2 Oklahoma 11-2
3 Ohio State 11-1
4 Arkansas 10-2
5 TCU 12-0
6 Oregon 12-0
7 Boise State 11-1
8 Stanford 11-1
9 Wisconsin 11-1
10 LSU 10-2
11 Virginia Tech 11-2
12 Alabama 9-3
13 Missouri 10-2
14 Oklahoma State 10-2
15 Texas A&M 9-3
16 Michigan State 11-1
17 Nevada 11-1
18 South Carolina 9-4
19 Hawaii 10-3
20 Nebraska 10-3

Monday, November 29, 2010

Conference Championship Matchups Set

Florida State took care of Florida and beat their two biggest rivals - Miami and Florida - in the same year for the first time since 1999. Then they had to wait to see Maryland knock off NC State to get them into the ACC championship game next week against Virginia Tech. Maryland, now 8-4, still should be congratulated on a much improved season from the 2-10 mark in 2009.

In the Big 12, teams had to wait for the BCS standings to come out Sunday evening to find out for sure who would play against Nebraska, who represents the north via winning head-to-head against Missouri, also 10-2 and 6-2 in the conference. In the south division, Oklahoma, Oklahoma State, and Texas A&M all finished 6-2 in the conference and 1-1 against each other and 4-1 in the division. So the division title then went to the team ranked higher in the BCS standings, which is Oklahoma at #9.

The Big Ten ends with a three-way tie for first - Ohio State, Wisconsin, and Michigan State all 11-1 and 7-1 in the conference - and no teams within 3 games of them. Actually no other Big Ten team has over 7 wins. It looks like Michigan will be snubbed and miss out on a BCS bowl as Wisconsin, rated the highest in the BCS, will be in Pasadena, and Ohio State, next highest in the BCS, is likely to get an at-large bid to a BCS bowl. Mighigan State looks to be going to the Capital One Bowl against one of the top SEC teams, also on the border of making a BCS game.

The SEC championship game was already set between Auburn and South Carolina. Can Auburn lose to South Carolina and still play for the national championship? They have a substantial lead over 3rd ranked TCU and probably will drop to no worse than 2nd in the computers, but what will the voters do. I am convinced TCU will not go higher than #3 even if Oregon and Auburn both lose. Voters have been keeping them at #3 kind of as a courtesy to keep the undefeated teams at the top but when it comes down to having to pick between a undefeated TCU and a slew of one loss teams - Stanford, Wisconsin, Ohio State, Michigan State, potentially Auburn or Oregon - voters will pick two of the 1 loss teams to fill spots 1 and 2. In my computer, Auburn has #1 locked up unless they lose badly and Oklahoma wins in which case the Sooners would be #1 and Auburn #2. Personally, I think that if there are two undefeated teams, they should play each other even though Auburn, Oregon, and a few of the other SEC schools are probably better than TCU.

Here are the rankings headed into the conference championship games followed by predictions:
 BCS   Strength of
 Rank  Prev BCS Computers    W      LTeam   Total Rtg.     Schedule
1111120Auburn99.37813
2696102Oklahoma93.9021
3875102Arkansas92.8282
4233120TCU90.67884
5469121Ohio St90.21552
631114101Boise St87.65357
71122110Oregon87.33593
8944111Stanford85.14971
91257111Wisconsin83.00875
105161293Alabama82.71810
117107102LSU82.3049
12101412102Oklahoma St81.24839
13141210102Missouri81.13438
1415181693Texas A&M79.7767
1516811111Mich St79.45160
16131520102VT77.27866
17181717121Nevada76.74297
1817191893South Carolina76.55122
1922212293FSU68.60841
20201315102Nebraska68.06286
211993Hawaii67.96181
22252525102N Illinois62.940120
2326222184Miss St62.87030
2434242483West Virginia61.97769
252783Navy61.74287

Auburn 32, South Carolina 27
Oregon 40, Oregon State 20
Oklahoma 31, Nebraska 24
Virginia Tech 27, Florida State 24

Sunday, November 28, 2010

I'm on the way back home after 4 days at the marriott world center in Orlando for the fall national bridge tournament and I must say that I generally dislike Orlando, at least the overall layout of the Disney/touristy part where we were. And it mostly the same reasons I dislike Las Vegas - things are too spread out.

I like tall buildings and being able to walk to dinner and use public transportation. The Marriott is pretty much inaccessible without a car, I never noticed any taxis waiting outside the 2400 room hotel, and the parking lot was at least a ten minute walk from even the closest room. It is a very nice place to hang around and a great venue for a bridge tournament (or pretty much any convention). With things so spread out, traffic is surprisingly bad while in a more urban area, bad traffic is just expected but at least you can go out of the hotel to restaurants and stuff without having to get in a vehicle.

So, now I'm on the way back home where a car really is a necessity, although they are starting a bus service in to work. That still will require driving to the bus station and driving home afterward, thus increasing travel time by 20 minutes, so I'm not really a fan of this implementation of public transit.
Sent from my iPhone

Tuesday, November 23, 2010

Great Week For My Computer Predictions

In the top 25 games this past weekend, my computer was 12-4 against the spread to bring my season percentage up to 52.2%, the first time it has been over 50%. I picked correctly several of the close games: NC State over UNC, FSU over Maryland, Texas A&M over Nebraska, Oregon State over USC.

It was a somewhat tame day for college football as there were few good games featuring top ranked teams. Auburn, Oregon, TCU were all off. Virginia Tech-Miami was probably the top game of the week and I only got to see part of the 3rd quarter between sessions of bridge, but I was glad to see Virginia Tech pull away and win.

It is still baffling how Oregon is still ranked so low in my computer program. They dropped from #8 to 11 after the bye week but they have clearly played a weak schedule except for Stanford. With games against Arizona and Oregon State to end the season, surely the computer will figure out that they belong higher if the Ducks win those games. Anyway, here's how my top 25 looks now.

  Rank   Prev     BCS   W         LTeam   Total Rtg.strength of schedule
112110Auburn98.65221
223110TCU97.58866
344100Boise St92.91579
458111Ohio St92.42355
531192Alabama91.26022
6111392Oklahoma90.83210
765101LSU90.68517
891292Arkansas89.9409
9106101Stanford88.00065
1079101Oklahoma St86.61760
1181100Oregon86.379103
12137101Wisconsin85.69374
13151692VT85.10144
14121492Missouri84.89225
15161783Texas A&M81.6177
161410101Michigan St80.16470
17171883South Carolina78.13020
181919111Nevada74.506109
192283Hawaii73.10962
20181592Nebraska70.15084
21212474Iowa70.02023
22272283FSU68.96247
23242383NCST68.50546
242074Miami67.67911
252992N. Illinois66.531119

Georgia and Georgia Tech are #65 and #62 but Georgia is favored to win. Here are the scores to look for in rivalry week:
Georgia 31, Georgia Tech 27
Oregon 37, Arizona 24
Alabama 29, Auburn 28
Arkansas 28, LSU 26
Oklahoma State 32, Oklahoma 31
South Carolina 30, Clemson 20
FSU 27, Florida 24
Texas A&M 31, Texas 17
Virginia Tech 37, Virginia 17

Tuesday, November 16, 2010

Right of Way Entering a Mall

You know how roads around malls are structured - when you enter from the main road, usually after 100 feet or so, you dead end into a road that goes around the perimeter of the mall. Typically the people entering have the right of way and the people crossing on the perimeter road have a stop sign, at least according to the signage. This makes sense to avoid traffic backing up on to the main road during busy times, but it is a bit counter-intuitive because most other places where one road dead ends into another road that goes straight through, the people on the road going through have the right of way, I guess because it's more natural to slow down when you always have to turn, and the through road is generally bigger. In practice, this configuration at a mall functions more like a 3 way stop.

I've had my car 3 and a half years. It has a few tiny scratches and dents and I still think it's the prettiest car in the world. Someone nearly gave me a reason to restore it to tip-top shape by barreling through a stop sign in the mall parking lot as described above, but my reactions and breaks are too good to get hit.

Monday, November 15, 2010

TCU Wins Close Game But Gains Ground on Auburn

With only 2 games remaining for most teams, there are still 4 undefeated teams and there are still some major discrepancies between my computer rankings and the official rankings. Most notably, it is still 10-0 Oregon checking in at #8 and 8-2 Alabama ranked #3. Clearly strength of schedule had some factor in that as Alabama has played the 7th toughest schedule and Oregon only the 102nd toughest schedule so far.

Georgia put up a good fight against Auburn and I was actually rooting for the Dogs. TCU barely held on to beat San Diego State and many voters demoted them after that but my computer did not apparently think that was such a bad performance. Oregon also just squeaked by Cal (15-13, thanks to a missed 2 point conversion and a missed field goal by Cal late in the game) but the pollsters kept them solidly at the top.

I've always thought the computer program was slightly bias toward the SEC but it's now more evident than ever - the SEC has 4 out of the top 9 teams. Now might be a good time to show the conference ratings:
SEC     122.42
Big 12  118.03
Big 10  114.59
Pac 10  101.55
ACC     99.06
Big East 84.02
WAC    79.29
MWC    77.32
CUSA    65.17
MAC     49.48
Sunbelt   33.46

  Rank   Prev      BCS     W      LTeam   Total Rtg.   SS Rank
112110Auburn99.56521
233110TCU97.61562
371182Alabama92.1407
42490Boise State89.79186
559101Ohio St89.72070
64591LSU87.74610
761091Oklahoma St86.72144
881100Oregon85.775102
9111382Arkansas82.92213
109691Stanford82.17772
11141482Oklahoma81.87022
12151582Missouri81.28229
1310791Wisconsin80.15280
14131291Michigan St79.47975
15161682VT79.15051
16251973Texas A&M76.07115
17261773South Carolina75.04412
1819891Nebraska74.72196
192018101Nevada73.44699
20222473Miami73.15527
21122073Iowa71.70535
222473Hawaii70.82141
23172173Mississippi St69.15330
242973NC St67.19353
25182273Arizona65.34943

Tuesday, November 9, 2010

9-0 Oregon is #8 in the Asbury Computer?

So, TCU-Utah was s upposed to be the best game last week and it turned into a rout. However, the Alabama-LSU matchup was supposedly a very good game. I didn't get to see any games this weekend except of course Georgia Tech vs. Virginia Tech. I was pleased with what I saw from Tevin Washington, Nesbitt's replacement after he went down with a broken arm. At the end, he threw an interception in the end zone when a touchdown would have likely sent the game to overtime but he did lead the team to a game tying touchdown a few minutes earlier. That means Virginia Tech is now a huge favorite to win the Coastal Division. They are clearly the best team in the ACC despite the loss to William and Mary. No one seems to be able to take control in the Atlantic division. All 3 teams with 1 conference loss lost last weekend so it is still very much open between NC State, FSU, Maryland, and Clemson.

For the week, my computer was 10-8 against the spread but still only 45.8% for the season.

Here are this week's rankings:


  Rank   Prev      BCS     W      LTeam   Total Rtg.   SS Rank
112100Auburn99.47916
28480Boise93.87065
343100TCU90.43886
415581LSU87.2767
510991OhioSt86.35373
6111081OkSt85.23745
791272Alabama85.07013
85190Oregon83.441110
917681Stan82.12767
1014781Wisconsin80.52269
11231572Ark80.03511
1261372Iowa79.99540
1371191michst78.37574
1431672Okla78.12119
1521772Mizzou76.91330
16212072VT73.64563
17191972msu73.05844
18161872Ariz72.99043
1912871Neb72.48190
20252191nevada72.115101
21181480Utah71.282119
223163Miami70.21518
233263UNC69.0008
242073hawaii68.98753
25402563texam68.28428

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