This blog has morphed from a blog about traveling to a blog about relationships with some travel anecdotes.
Wednesday, November 30, 2011
Asbury Computer Rankings heading into Championship weekend
For the season, my computer is 76.9% at picking the winner (in games involving a top 25 team) while the official spread is at 80.1%. However, my computer beats the spread 53.2% of the time. Over the years, my computer has consistently beat the spread - 51.1% in 2009 and 52.9% in 2010 - so if you want to bet on games, my picks look like a good bet.
My computer is predicting a close SEC championship game, LSU over UGA 28-24. Oregon over UCLA by 15,Wisconsin over Michigan State 31-24, and Virginia Tech over Clemson 33-20.
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If you are betting with a bookie (or a legal Las Vegas Sports Book) you have to have to pay a 10% "vigorish." For example, you have to wager $110 to win $100. This means the break even point is to win 52.38% of your bets. 2010 would have given you a modest profit, but 2009 would have been a losing year.
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